2020 New Mexico Bowl odds, line, spread: Houston vs. Hawaii picks, predictions from model on 55-35 run

SportsLine’s advanced computer model simulated Hawaii vs. Houston on Thursday 10,000 times


The Houston Cougars will look to snap a three-game bowl losing streak when they take on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on Thursday in the 2020 New Mexico Bowl. Because of COVID-19 travel restrictions in New Mexico, the game is being played in Frisco, Texas. The Cougars (3-4) are making their 28th overall bowl appearance and their seventh in the past eight years. Houston coach Dana Holgorsen announced that between 15-20 of his players will miss this game for various reasons. One is star receiver Marquez Stevenson, who will skip this matchup to focus on the NFL Draft

The game from the Toyota Stadium is slated to start at 3:30 p.m. ET. Houston is averaging 32.3 points per game, while Hawaii averages 26.0. The Cougars are favored by 7.5 points in the latest Hawaii vs. Houston odds from William Hill Sportsbook, down from opening at -11.5. The over-under for total points scored is 59.5. Before locking in any Houston vs. Hawaii picks, check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters bowl season a sizzling 55-35 on all top-rated picks, returning over $500. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Hawaii vs. Houston in the New Mexico Bowl 2020. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Houston vs. Hawaii:

  • Hawaii vs. Houston spread: Houston -7.5
  • Hawaii vs. Houston over-under: 59.5 points
  • Hawaii vs. Houston money line: Hawaii +240, Houston -300
  • HAW: Is one of just two Mountain West schools to have played every conference game on its schedule this season
  • HOU: The Cougars have had eight games cancelled, postponed or rescheduled due to COVID-19 issues

Why Houston can cover

The Cougars’ defense has improved over last season and a big reason is the team’s pass rush. In seven games so far this season, Houston has registered 22 sacks, the same amount it had in 12 games a year ago. The Cougars rank first in the American Athletic Conference and are 15th nationally with 3.14 sacks per game. Senior defensive lineman David Anenih leads the Cougars with 4.5 sacks for 42 yards. He has also registered 14 tackles, including 11 solo, one pass breakup and one forced fumble.

Senior linebacker Grant Stuard leads Houston in tackles with 61, including 35 solo. He has one sack for 14 yards and has recovered one fumble he returned for a touchdown. In seven games this season, Stuard recorded double-digit tackles in two games, including 12 against Central Florida on Oct. 31 and 11 at Memphis on Dec. 12. For his career, Stuard has 190 tackles, including 115 solo, with two sacks and four pass breakups.

Why Hawaii can cover

Despite that, the Cougars are not a lock to cover the Hawaii vs. Houston spread. That’s because the Rainbow Warriors are looking to finish with a .500 or better record in a third consecutive season and fourth time in five years. Hawaii is led by sophomore quarterback Chevan Cordeiro, who leads the team in rushing and passing. He has completed 180 of 290 passes (62.1 percent) for 1,947 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has been picked off six times and has a rating of 126.8. He has carried 108 times for 450 yards (4.2 average) and seven scores.

Also leading the offense is senior running back Calvin Turner, who is third on the team in rushing and first in receiving. He has carried 48 times for 271 yards (5.6 average) and four touchdowns. He has 29 receptions for 458 yards (15.8 average) and five scores. In the win over UNLV on Dec. 12, Turner carried six times for 55 yards and one TD, while catching two passes for 77 yards.

How to make Houston vs. Hawaii picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, as the simulations show the teams combining for almost 70 points. It also says one side of the spread hits 60 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Hawaii vs. Houston? And which side of the spread hits 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Houston vs. Hawaii spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 55-35 run on its top-rated college football picks this season.

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