Iowa State vs Oregon: PlayStation Fiesta Bowl prediction and game preview.
Iowa State vs Oregon: PlayStation Fiesta Bowl Broadcast
Date: Saturday, January 2
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET
Venue: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Iowa State (8-3) vs Oregon (4-2) Game Preview
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Three Reasons Why You Should Watch The PlayStation Fiesta Bowl
– It’s the Bowl of Misfit Teams, starting with Oregon winning the Pac-12 Championship over USC after Washington wasn’t able to go due to COVID issues. Iowa State had a great second half of the season, but started with a 17-point loss to Louisiana and ended with a Big 12 Championship defeat against Oklahoma.
However, this is a good Cyclone team that’s going to be fired up to close strong, and Oregon has a very young, very talented team that fought through key preseason opt-outs and now wants to make a statement going into the 2021 season.
– Duck head coach Mario Cristobal is locked into a long contract extension, the recruiting has been fantastic, and he has two straight Pac-12 titles under his belt. Oregon never quite found a groove in the shortened season, but the offense is efficient, the defense stepped up when it needed to against USC, and again, talent isn’t a question. Iowa State is a good, sound, experienced team, but the Ducks have the next-level guys across the board.
– Most of the blue blood programs that get into the big bowls just throw the appearance on to the pile. This is a big deal for Iowa State, and the hope is for it to be a moment that takes the program to another level when it comes to national perception.
After losing to Oklahoma, Iowa State still has never won an outright conference title despite playing football since the late 1800s, and this is just the 16th bowl appearance. It hasn’t been pretty going 4-11 so far and 1-5 in the last six including two straight losses under Campbell, and now this is a chance to correct that, and to make amends for last year’s brutal 33-9 loss to Notre Dame in the Camping World.
NEXT: Why Iowa State Will Win, Why Oregon Will Win, Iowa State vs Oregon Prediction
Why Iowa State Will Win The Fiesta Bowl
– It’s a sound, veteran team that pushed back hard against an Oklahoma team that turned out to be really, really good. The Cyclones might have lost the Big 12 Championship, but they got there with a five-game winning streak as the team got stronger and better and the year went on.
When RB Breece Hall is rolling – which is almost always – this is one of college football’s most balanced offenses hitting 200 yards rushing and receiving five times in the 11 games. This is a versatile enough team to handle what’s coming from the athletic Oregon defense. It starts with …
– The offensive line is fantastic. It’s not just great for Hall and a running game that’s consistent and terrific, but it was the best in the Big 12 in pass protection. Oregon generates a timely pass rush, but it doesn’t come up with plays behind the line in bulk. Iowa State will hold its own on one side, and the run defense will take care of things on the other. There might not be an amazing Iowa State pass rush, but it’s great against the run.
– It might seem boring and simple, but don’t give the ball away, and beat Oregon. The Ducks lost two games this years to teams they should’ve housed – Oregon State and Cal. Both games were close, both games were fun, and they were the two games Oregon failed to generate a takeaway.
Brock Purdy threw three picks in the loss to Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship, but the Cyclone offense didn’t turn the ball over in the three previous games, all wins.
This isn’t the Oregon offense that some might be used to. It’s good, and it’s efficient, but it’s not all the consistent and it turns the ball over a bit too much.
Why Oregon Will Win The Fiesta Bowl
– Can the defensive front hold up against Breece Hall and the Iowa State running game? The Ducks got pounded on by the UCLA running game and kicked around by Jermar Jefferson and the Oregon State ground attack, but that was about it. The defensive front rose up and stopped Cal cold, and is was all over the USC ground attack allowing just 38 yards.
The Oregon defense doesn’t make enough big things happen behind the line, but it was able to do it against a strong USC offensive front and got the job done. Iowa State will be able to run the ball, but as long as it doesn’t go off, Oregon should be fine.
– Tyler Shough and the passing game have to be great. He was sharp and productive over the first four games, but he wasn’t quite accurate enough over the last two games. It didn’t matter much in the win over USC for the Pac-12 Championship, but it was a problem in the loss to Cal.
He doesn’t have to outplay Brock Purdy, but as long as he doesn’t have problems with picks – he’s generally careful – and doesn’t try to force anything, the Duck O should be okay.
– Run, run, run. It doesn’t take too much to give the Iowa State defense problems. The Cyclones allowed over 100 yards five times, lost three of those games, had to come back to get Oklahoma the first time around, and needed to battle late to get by Texas.
The Iowa State run defense doesn’t get gouged – there won’t be any big runs – but there has to be just enough to be competent. Average four yards per carry, hit the 130 yards or so the Ducks are able to, and the rest of the parts should work.
NEXT: What’s Going To Happen, Iowa State vs Oregon Prediction, PlayStation Fiesta Bowl History
What’s Going To Happen
It’s going to be great.
Iowa State is the real deal. It does just about everything right, it’s well coached, and it’s going to be insanely motivated after getting blown away in last year’s bowl loss to Notre Dame. This is the chance to prove that the team was for real and deserved this spot in a New Year’s Six game, and it’ll do that.
Even in a loss.
Oregon hasn’t been perfect. It struggled way too much, but that’s partly because of so many opt-outs, the loss of Justin Herbert, and the bizarre nature of the Pac-12’s abbreviated season. However, it has the high-end talent.
Iowa State has enough stars, veterans, and potential next-level parts, but the Pac-12 Championship showed off an Oregon team that appeared to find that extra gear at the right tine. Best of all for the Ducks, they were able to win even though everything didn’t go quite right.
Iowa State won’t go away, Oregon’s fast-tempo offense will stall a bit too much, and this will be close late. When the Oregon talent has to rise up for a big play and in a big moment, it will.
PlayStation Fiesta Bowl: Iowa State vs Oregon Prediction, Line
Must See Rating: 4
5: New Year’s Day on the couch
1: New Year’s Eve going out
PlayStation Fiesta Bowl History
Dec. 28, 2019 CFP Clemson 29, Ohio State23
Jan. 1, 2019 LSU 40, UCF 32
Dec. 30, 2017 Penn State 35, Washington 28
Dec. 31, 2016 CFP Clemson 31, Ohio State 0
Dec. 31, 2014 Boise State 38 Arizona 30
Jan. 3, 2013 Oregon 35 Kansas State 17
Jan. 2, 2012 Oklahoma State 41 Stanford 38 (OT)
Jan. 1, 2011 Oklahoma 48 Connecticut 20
Jan. 4, 2010 Boise State 17 TCU 10
Jan. 5, 2009 Texas 24 Ohio State 21
Jan. 2, 2008 West Virginia 48 Oklahoma 28
Jan. 1, 2007 Boise State 43 Oklahoma 42 (OT)
Jan. 2, 2006 Ohio State 34 Notre Dame 20
Jan. 1, 2005 Utah 35 Pittsburgh 7
Jan. 2, 2004 Ohio State 35 Kansas State 28
Jan. 3, 2003 Ohio State 31 Miami 24
Jan. 1, 2002 Oregon 38 Colorado 16
Jan. 1, 2001 Oregon State 41 Notre Dame 9
Jan. 2, 2000 Nebraska 31 Tennessee 21
Jan. 4, 1999 Tennessee 23 Florida State 16
Dec. 31, 1997 Kansas State 35 Syracuse 18
Jan. 1, 1997 Penn State 38 Texas 15
Jan. 2, 1996 Nebraska 62 Florida 24
Jan. 2, 1995 Colorado 41 Notre Dame 24
Jan. 1, 1994 Arizona 29 Miami 0
Jan. 1, 1993 Syracuse 26 Colorado 22
Jan. 1, 1992 Penn State 42 Tennessee 17
Jan. 1, 1991 Louisville 24 Alabama 7
Jan. 1, 1990 Florida State 41 Nebraska 17
Jan. 2, 1989 Notre Dame 34 West Virginia 21
Jan. 1, 1988 Florida State 31 Nebraska 28
Jan. 2, 1987 Penn State 14 Miami 10
Jan. 1, 1986 Michigan 27 Nebraska 23
Jan. 1, 1985 UCLA 39 Miami 37
Jan. 2, 1984 Ohio State 28 Pittsburgh 23
Jan. 1, 1983 Arizona State 32 Oklahoma 21
Jan. 1, 1982 Penn State 26 USC 10
Dec. 26, 1980 Penn State 31 Ohio State 19
Dec. 25, 1979 Pittsburgh 16 Arizona 10
Dec. 25, 1978 Arkansas 10 UCLA 10
Dec. 25, 1977 Penn State 42 Arizona State 30
Dec. 25, 1976 Oklahoma 41 Wyoming 7
Dec. 26, 1975 Arizona State 17 Nebraska 14
Dec. 28, 1974 Oklahoma State 16 BYU 6
Dec. 21, 1973 Arizona State 28 Pittsburgh 7
Dec. 23, 1972 Arizona State 49 Missouri 35
Dec. 27, 1971 Arizona State 45 Florida State 38