The New York Knicks (7-8) visit the Golden State Warriors (8-6) at 10 p.m. ET as part of the three-game Thursday NBA schedule. The cross-conference clash will take place at Chase Center, with the Knicks aiming to continue a recent uptick. New York has won the last two games, knocking off the Celtics on the road and the Magic at home. Golden State will play its second home game in as many nights after matching up with the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday in San Francisco.
The Warriors vs. Knicks odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Golden State as a five-point favorite, down half a point from the opening line. The over-under for total points expected is set at 215. Before making any Knicks vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on a stunning 68-39 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Knicks vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -5
- Knicks vs. Warriors over-under: 215
- Knicks vs. Warriors money line: Warriors -200; Knicks +175
- NYK: The Knicks are 4-4 against the spread in 2020-21 road games
- GSW: The Warriors are 5-3 against the spread in 2020-21 home games
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State’s defense has been solid this season, ranking in the top half of the league on a per-possession basis. That should come in handy for the Warriors against a Knicks team that deploys a bottom-five offense, scoring only 104.2 points per 100 possessions. New York ranks near the bottom of the league in both assist rate (57.1 percent) and true shooting percentage (53.4 percent), opening the door for Golden State to capitalize.
Offensively, Stephen Curry leads the way, averaging 28.1 points, 6.3 assists and 5.6 rebounds per game this season. Golden State takes care of the ball at an above-average rate, turning the ball over on only 14.2 percent of offensive possessions, and the Warriors also generate free throws at a high level, ranking eighth in the NBA in free throw creation rate.
Why the Knicks can cover
The Knicks are playing at a vastly improved level under Tom Thibodeau and much of the improvement stems from the uptick in performance of Julius Randle and RJ Barrett. Randle is enjoying the best season of his career, averaging 22.8 points, 11.0 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game while keying New York’s offensive attack. Barrett, the former No. 3 overall pick, is also taking a step forward in his second season, producing 17.1 points and 7.6 rebounds per game with burgeoning efficiency.
On the offensive end, the Knicks make their inroads by attacking the offensive glass and getting to the free throw late, rating as an above-average NBA team in both areas. The Warriors are currently the second-worst team in the league at keeping opponents off the charity stripe, making New York’s aggressiveness even more important.
How to make Warriors vs. Knicks picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 224 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Knicks vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Knicks vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.